Top NHL Players This Season - Fenwick and PDO
Which NHL team has been most dominant in puck possession thus far in the season?
Is a player’s current fenwick percentage related to their season PDO?
NHL Team Productivity
Hockey is all about puck possession and taking advantage of scoring chances, among many other things. For the sake of this article, we are only going to take into account PDO and fenwick to analyze team and player’s performances. Using the fenwick statistic to accurately predict a team’s total puck possession is quite useful when it comes to both scouting and spectating. Now that this season has a solidified base of games we can compile enough data to more effectively calculate both team and player fenwick percentages. For a quick refresher, fenwick is calculated by the following formula: (Shots on goal FOR + missed shots FOR) – (Shots on goal AGAINST + missed shots AGAINST). On a team level, a positive fenwick would indicate that a team possesses the puck more in the offensive zone rather than the defensive zone. On the flip side, a negative fenwick result would indicate that a team spends more time in their defensive zone rather than the offensive zone.
With this in mind, when we take a look at the current team percentages we can note that the Golden Knights have come in on top with a fenwick percentage of 56.55%. This is just a small lead over the Carolina Hurricanes at 56.23%. This infers that not only are the Knights and Hurricanes getting a lot of quality scoring chances, but they are also hitting the net on their shots. What this statistic also tells us is that the Knights and Hurricanes are dominating in puck possession, and whether they’re actually capitalizing on all of this possession time and scoring chances is another story. Regardless of capitalization, these teams are dominating the possession charts.
Relation between a player’s fenwick to PDO
Taking a look at an individual player’s fenwick is extremely useful to determine if they are on the right track offensively and defensively. A player with a higher fenwick is outshooting the opposition on the ice, which of course, is a great thing to be doing. Just as a reminder, a player with a fenwick above 60 is considered very good. Taking a look at our charts, the player leading the fenwick charge is Karson Kuhlman of the Boston Bruins. 75.76% is a phenomenal fenwick, especially considering he is in great company on the stat sheet; leading star players like Joe Thornton, David Pastrnak, and even his teammate Patrice Bergeron. Kuhlman’s absurdly high statistic is drowned out by the fact that he has only okayed two of the eleven games, compared to his counterparts playing every game. Jesper Bratt, right behind Kuhlman, is a more accurate depiction of how this stat is useful in assessing on-ice performance. He currently has a fenwick of 67.50%, which is still a very impressive statistic. Comparing this possession statistic to his performance statistic(PDO), he comes in at 90.60%. What this tells us is that despite his dominant on-ice performance on the possession side, he’s actually underperforming in terms of potential. Taking into consideration he has more gas in the tank performance-wise, we can predict that Bratt is on pace to be going to be commanding a strong performance in the future.
Player / Team Fenwick to Date