Scout Report: Eduardo Camavinga

On August 18th, 2019 the world stood still when a 16-year-old unknown teenager danced through the midfield lines of PSG and sent them packing to the capital with 0 points and a night to remember for the likes of Verrati, Draxler, and Marquinhos. As Camavinga won the man of the match award for the 2-1 victory, we were left wondering -- who is Eduardo Camavinga?

Career Highlights

  • Camavinga has been a part of Rennes' youth system since the age of 11.

  • Made his professional debut for Rennes in a 3–3 Ligue 1 tie with Angers on 6 April 2019, becoming the youngest player to ever play for Rennes' first team at 16 years and 4 months old.

  • Scored his first goal for Rennes in a 1–0 win against Lyon on 15 December 2019, in the 89th minute of the game.

  • Youngest player to represent the French senior team since René Gérard in 1932, who was only 17 years, 9 months, and 17 days old.

  • Youngest goal scorer for the French senior team -- scoring an overhead kick on 7 October 2020 against Ukraine.

Statistical Analysis

From the above graph, we can clearly see that Camavinga has improved in many aspects of the game since his debut in 2018. The most notable increase is the XG+XA (expected goals + expected assists) stat, increasing by 0.3 0r 3% in the 2020-2021 season to 0.1 compared to 0.07 in the 2019/20 season. The increase of the XG+XA metric is a strong indicator of Camavinga's overall technical improvement in the last 2 years. So far this season Camavinga has played 21 matches (plus 7 as a sub) in League 1. Having 5 shots on target from a total of 15 shots and have scored 1 goal (1.28 xG), averaging 44 passes per match with a pass completion rate of 89%, and has 1 assist.

Possession Score: = Successful Dribbles % + (Progressive Carrying Distance/10) + (Carries Into Final Third*10) - (Times Dispossessed*5)

The Criteria

This metric is designed to capture how effective a player is at possessing the ball, particularly in the attack. The most heavily-weighted metric is "Successful Dribble %", for that shows that a player can maintain possession of the ball while moving with it. The model additionally factors in the player's "Progressive Carrying Distance" and "Carries into Final Third", both normalized within the model. These statistics are crucial to understanding whether the midfielder is involved with the attack and is actively moving the point of attack forward with their movement. Finally, to counter the model against players who accrue a loss of possession with their overzealousness to attack, a normalized value of the times a player is "Dispossessed" is subtracted from the total of the other metrics. All stats are per 90 minutes.

The Results

We see Camavinga ranking incredibly well among top midfielders in terms of Possession. He only trails PSG's Verrati and Rafinha, and Real Madrid's Toni Kroos. But perhaps, more notably, he ranks ahead of some of soccer's biggest names, including the likes of Kante, Pogba, and Herrera. By using this model, it is clear that Camavinga can possess the ball and contribute to an attack on the scale of legends - and he just turned 18.

Defense Score: Tackles & Interceptions + Pressures + Blocks - Dribbled Past

The Criteria

This metric evaluates the amount of defensive work a player completes per 90 minutes. Tackles and interceptions, pressures, and blocks are all equally considered, and the number of times the player is dribbled past is weighted negatively. This metric breaks down the different factors that go into a players defensive "work rate", a quality that is central to the CDM position. Breaking up the opposition's possession is arguably the paramount responsibility of a CDM, and all of the above listed statistics give an insight of how one does this, or fails to do so in the case of the times the player is dribbled past.

The Results

When compared to notable CDMs aged 23 or under in some of Ligue 1's top 5 teams, we see that Camavinga compares very favorably. It is also important to note that, although he doesn't lead the above players in any of the above players in any given statistic, Camavinga still ranks second in terms of our metric: a clear indicator of Camavinga's defensive versatility. Furthermore, while all of the above listed players are at least 21, and Camavinga is only 18, so he could well surpass even the top defensive midfielders in Europe, let alone the ones in in his age bracket, in the next couple years.

Transfer Assessment

Eduardo Camavinga next club odds - Betfair

  • Real Madrid – 9/4

  • Manchester United – 4/1

  • Barcelona – 8/1

  • Chelsea – 10/1

  • Manchester City – 12/1

  • Arsenal – 25/1

Camavinga has been heavily linked with Real Madrid and has been mentioned as a long term target for Los Blancos along with Haaland and Mbappe. Camavinga's agent, Jonathan Barnett, believes that he is on his way to becoming the “best in the world”. In quotes carried out by Goal Barnet has said:

"Let’s see what happens later on, but he’s doing well in Rennes and that’s fine,” Barnett exclusively told Goal. “Being the best midfielder in the world, that’s how I see his future, [with] a lot of medals and a lot of trophies. [Real Madrid is] a great club, a great club to play for," he added. "Eduardo [Camavinga] will have a choice of a lot of clubs if Rennes decides to release him. They will be one of the four of five clubs in the world he might go to. Eduardo would love to play for a top club. [Real] Madrid is one of those top clubs in the world, so are Barcelona".

While speaking to the Daily Star on being linked to Real Madrid, Camavinga said:

“It’s good that big clubs like those mentioned are interested in me, but I’m not too interested in that, especially because I’m happy at Rennes,”

Let's Look at potential destinations for Eduardo Camavinga & how he will fit in --

Contributors: Hannah Mandell, Alexander Poletaev

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